Croatia
1 - 2
France

Vlasic (64')
Vlasic (5'), Uremovic (57'), Lovren (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Griezmann (8'), Mbappe (79')
Digne (5'), Pogba (90+1')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Croatia and France, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for France had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Croatia	Draw	France
39.38%	27.12%	33.5%

Both teams to score 50.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.89%

55.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.64%

76.36%

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67%

27.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22%

62.78%

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1%

30.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81%

67.19%

Score Analysis

Croatia 39.38%

France 33.5%

Draw 27.12%

Croatia	Draw	France
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.38%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.5%