Aruba
0 - 7
Canada

Pereira (19')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Cavallini (17', 45+2'), Hoilett (20' pen.), Brault-Guillard (49'), Davies (78'), Larin (87'), David (89')
Vitoria (14')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Aruba and Canada.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Aruba win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Aruba	Draw	Canada
28.56%	24.17%	47.27%

Both teams to score 57.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4%

44.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03%

66.97%

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03%

28.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14%

64.86%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81%

19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45%

50.55%

Score Analysis

Aruba 28.56%

Canada 47.27%

Draw 24.17%

Aruba	Draw	Canada
2-1 @ 7.02% 1-0 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.22% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.56%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.25% Total : 47.27%