Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Syria had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Syria win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.
