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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
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Congo
1 - 2
Togo

Mbenza (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Placca (43'), Denkey (77')
Tchakei (28')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Togo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Togo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
CongoDrawTogo
40.72%27.37%31.91%
Both teams to score 49.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61%56.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59%77.41%
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81%27.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4%62.6%
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36%32.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82%69.18%
Score Analysis
    Congo 40.72%
    Togo 31.91%
    Draw 27.37%
CongoDrawTogo
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.91%

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