Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Congo had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Congo win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.