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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
SN

Congo
1 - 3
Senegal

Ganvoula (45+2' pen.)
Mazikou (10'), Mafoumbi (85'), Baron De Sylvain Kibamba (72'), Makouta (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dia (27'), Sarr (82'), Mane (87' pen.)
Ballo-Toure (12'), Mane (36'), M'baye (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Congo had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
CongoDrawSenegal
30.26%27.44%42.3%
Both teams to score 48.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85%57.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.98%78.02%
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78%34.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08%70.92%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05%61.95%
Score Analysis
    Congo 30.26%
    Senegal 42.29%
    Draw 27.43%
CongoDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 30.26%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 12.06%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-2 @ 7.97%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.29%

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