Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 73.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.28%) and 0-3 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Cuba win it was 1-0 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
