Cuba
1 - 2
Curacao

Hernandez (27')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bacuna (11'), Benschop (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Cuba and Curacao.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 73.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 9.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.28%) and 0-3 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Cuba win it was 1-0 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result
Cuba	Draw	Curacao
9.4%	17.15%	73.45%

Both teams to score 43.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.54%

44.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16%

66.84%

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.37%

51.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.24%

85.76%

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.4%

10.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.62%

34.38%

Score Analysis

Cuba 9.4%

Curacao 73.44%

Draw 17.15%

Cuba	Draw	Curacao
1-0 @ 3.62% 2-1 @ 2.68% 2-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.4%	1-1 @ 8.12% 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 3.01% Other @ 0.55% Total : 17.15%	0-2 @ 13.78% 0-1 @ 12.28% 0-3 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.11% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-4 @ 5.79% 1-4 @ 3.83% 0-5 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-5 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-6 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.72% Total : 73.44%