Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Dominica and Anguilla.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominica would win this match.
