Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.
