Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.