Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
