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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Stadium
NN

Gibraltar
0 - 3
Norway


Annesley (68'), Mouelhi (76'), Barnett (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sorloth (43'), Thorstvedt (45'), Svensson (57')
Svensson (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawNorway
21.78%25.08%53.14%
Both teams to score 48.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09%53.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64%75.36%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26%39.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58%76.41%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72%20.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37%52.63%
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 21.78%
    Norway 53.13%
    Draw 25.07%
GibraltarDrawNorway
1-0 @ 7.44%
2-1 @ 5.47%
2-0 @ 3.43%
3-1 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 1.34%
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.78%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 12.85%
0-2 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-3 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 5.04%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 53.13%

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