Hong Kong
0 - 1
Iraq

Chan (51'), Kit Tsui (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Qasem (13')
Jabbar (71'), Natiq (79')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Hong Kong and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iraq in this match.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Iraq
35.94%	26.69%	37.36%

Both teams to score 51.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89%

53.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31%

74.68%

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63%

28.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89%

64.11%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47%

27.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96%

63.03%

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 35.94%

Iraq 37.36%

Draw 26.69%

Hong Kong	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.94%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.36%