Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iraq in this match.
Result | ||
Hong Kong | Draw | Iraq |
35.94% | 26.69% | 37.36% |
Both teams to score 51.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.89% | 53.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.31% | 74.68% |
Hong Kong Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% | 28.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% | 64.11% |
Iraq Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.47% | 27.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.96% | 63.03% |
Score Analysis |
Hong Kong | Draw | Iraq |
1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.36% |
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