Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.