Croatia
2 - 1
Sweden

Vlasic (32'), Kramaric (84')
Kovacic (2'), Brozovic (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Berg (66')
Larsson (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Croatia and Sweden, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Sweden
52.58%	24.54%	22.88%

Both teams to score 50.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26%

50.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36%

72.64%

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74%

19.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01%

50.99%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.11%

36.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.32%

73.68%

Score Analysis

Croatia 52.58%

Sweden 22.88%

Draw 24.54%

Croatia	Draw	Sweden
1-0 @ 11.7% 2-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.58%	1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.88%