Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyrgyzstan win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyrgyzstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Mongolia win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
