Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
