Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Montserrat and US Virgin Islands.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montserrat would win this match.
