SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Korea | 3 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Korea win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 21.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Korea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| North Korea | Draw | Myanmar |
58.5% ( 0.64) | 20.28% ( -0.14) | 21.21% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 63.14% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.41% ( -0) | 33.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.6% ( 0) | 55.39% ( -0.01) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( 0.17) | 11.37% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.9% ( 0.37) | 36.09% ( -0.38) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -0.43) | 28.75% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( -0.54) | 64.59% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Korea | Draw | Myanmar |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.5% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.28% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 21.21% |
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