SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 85.1%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Macao had a probability of 4.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.04%) and 0-4 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Macao win it was 1-0 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macao | Draw | Myanmar |
4.37% ( -0.22) | 10.53% ( -0.3) | 85.1% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 39.38% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.86% ( 0.36) | 33.13% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.12% ( 0.42) | 54.88% ( -0.42) |
| Macao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.67% ( -0.61) | 58.33% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.22% ( -0.33) | 89.77% ( 0.33) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.52% ( 0.17) | 5.48% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.61% ( 0.48) | 21.38% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macao | Draw | Myanmar |
| 1-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.3% Total : 4.37% | 1-1 @ 5% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.38% Total : 10.53% | 0-2 @ 13.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 13.04% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 9.48% ( 0.2)0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 7.03% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 5.51% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 2.67% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)1-6 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)0-7 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.46% Total : 85.08% |
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