SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 75.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Myanmar win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Myanmar |
75.33% ( 0.02) | 16.09% ( -0.01) | 8.58% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.36% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.02) | 42.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( 0.02) | 64.74% ( -0.01) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% ( 0.01) | 9.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.97% ( 0.02) | 32.03% ( -0.02) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.95% ( 0) | 52.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.96% ( 0) | 86.04% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Myanmar |
| 2-0 @ 13.71% 1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 7% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 75.31% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.09% | 0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.58% |
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