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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 15, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
UN

Saudi Arabia
3 - 0
Uzbekistan

Al-Faraj (25', 33'), Al Hassan (52')
Al-Faraj (67'), Al-Muwallad (90+2'), Abdullah Abdul Hamid (90+4'), Al-Ghanam (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Shukurov (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawUzbekistan
45.31%23.23%31.46%
Both teams to score 62.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.41%38.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.11%60.89%
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58%17.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.14%47.85%
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91%24.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63%58.37%
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 45.31%
    Uzbekistan 31.46%
    Draw 23.22%
Saudi ArabiaDrawUzbekistan
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-2 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.73%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 10.43%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-1 @ 5.97%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.46%

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