Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Sri Lanka win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.