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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 9, 2021 at 12pm UK
 
SK

Sri Lanka
0 - 5
South Korea


Duckson Puslas (28'), Chameera (32'), Rahuman (45+1')
Rahuman (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Shin-wook (15', 43' pen.), Lee (22'), Hee-chan (53'), Jeong (77')
Kim (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Sri Lanka win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
Sri LankaDrawSouth Korea
33.96%27.36%38.69%
Both teams to score 49.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06%55.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96%77.04%
Sri Lanka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98%31.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67%67.33%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21%63.79%
Score Analysis
    Sri Lanka 33.95%
    South Korea 38.68%
    Draw 27.35%
Sri LankaDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.72%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 11.06%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.68%

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