Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
