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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
GN

Sudan
2 - 4
Guinea-Bissau

Abdel Raman Yousif (55', 90+2')
Kamal Suliman (38')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Djassi Brito Silva (8', 39'), Mendy (11'), Balde (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
SudanDrawGuinea-Bissau
38.86%28.25%32.9%
Both teams to score 46.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61%59.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23%79.77%
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26%65.75%
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5%33.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87%70.14%
Score Analysis
    Sudan 38.85%
    Guinea-Bissau 32.9%
    Draw 28.24%
SudanDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.9%

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