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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
MN

Tanzania
3 - 2
Madagascar

Nyoni (2' pen.), Dismas (26'), Salum (53')
Samatta (34'), Nyoni (45')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Njiva Rakotoharimalala (36'), Fontaine (45+2')
Jacquot Manampisoa (22')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tanzania would win this match.

Result
TanzaniaDrawMadagascar
41.18%27.48%31.34%
Both teams to score 48.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.05%56.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14%77.86%
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8%27.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39%62.61%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67%33.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05%69.95%
Score Analysis
    Tanzania 41.18%
    Madagascar 31.34%
    Draw 27.47%
TanzaniaDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.34%

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