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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
RN

Uganda
1 - 0
Rwanda

Bayo (22')
Lwanga (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mukunzi (74'), Nishimwe (84'), Iradukunda (87'), Kagere (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match.

Result
UgandaDrawRwanda
43.61%26.7%29.68%
Both teams to score 50.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4%54.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06%75.93%
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15%24.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55%59.45%
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69%33.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07%69.93%
Score Analysis
    Uganda 43.61%
    Rwanda 29.68%
    Draw 26.7%
UgandaDrawRwanda
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.68%

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