Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.03%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
