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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
CR

Wales
1 - 0
Czech Republic

James (82')
Roberts (49'), Lawrence (54')
Roberts (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zima (55'), Jankto (62')
Schick (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.03%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
WalesDrawCzech Republic
49.24%21.6%29.15%
Both teams to score 67.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09%31.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54%53.46%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49%13.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.45%40.55%
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85%22.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46%55.54%
Score Analysis
    Wales 49.24%
    Czech Republic 29.15%
    Draw 21.6%
WalesDrawCzech Republic
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 6%
1-0 @ 5.99%
3-2 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 4%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2%
5-1 @ 1.21%
4-3 @ 1.14%
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 6.81%
0-0 @ 2.99%
3-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 21.6%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-1 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 3.42%
0-2 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.29%
1-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.15%

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