SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Colon had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
31.7% ( 0.16) | 28.08% ( 0.25) | 40.21% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.96% ( -0.87) | 59.04% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.5% ( -0.68) | 79.5% ( 0.68) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.34) | 34.16% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( -0.36) | 70.86% ( 0.37) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.65) | 28.73% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( -0.82) | 64.57% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.7% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.21% |
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