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CB
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
B

Brugge
0 - 2
Benfica


Odoi (9'), Sowah (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mario (51' pen.), Neres (88')
Otamendi (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Union SG
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Benfica (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 2-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Club BruggeDrawBenfica
15.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 19.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 64.81% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)38.8% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)61.11% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39%37.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (0.010000000000005 0.01)11.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)35.86% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 15.76%
    Benfica 64.81%
    Draw 19.43%
Club BruggeDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.76%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83%
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.43%
0-2 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.35% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 7.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 4.01% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-4 @ 3.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 64.81%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Union SG
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 0-0 Brugge
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Zulte 1-2 Brugge
Sunday, January 29 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-2 Charleroi
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 1-1 Brugge
Thursday, January 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, January 15 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Benfica (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, January 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, January 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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