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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
CC

Ipswich
3 - 2
Cardiff

Broadhead (59'), Ladapo (68', 78')
Clarke (33'), Burns (64'), Williams (90'), Broadhead (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramsey (30'), Ralls (52')
Tanner (38'), Ng (65'), Panzo (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Cardiff City

With successive wins in all competitions, Cardiff appear to be getting to grips with a new head coach and much-changed squad. Nevertheless, this represents a step up in quality, and we are backing Ipswich to get back on track in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawCardiff City
65.45% (0.069999999999993 0.07) 19.1% (-0.032 -0.03) 15.45% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (0.080000000000005 0.08)37.88% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (0.083999999999996 0.08)60.14% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.041000000000011 0.04)10.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08% (0.088999999999999 0.09)34.92% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)37.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.21% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 65.45%
    Cardiff City 15.45%
    Draw 19.1%
Ipswich TownDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 65.45%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59%
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 2-2 Ipswich (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 3-4 Leeds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Cardiff
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Cardiff
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 QPR
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Colchester (2-0 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Cardiff
Sunday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Championship


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