SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Bristol City |
50.21% ( 0.83) | 25.1% ( -0.05) | 24.69% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( -0.39) | 51.34% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( -0.34) | 73.16% ( 0.34) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 0.19) | 20.46% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( 0.3) | 52.92% ( -0.3) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.88) | 35.58% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% ( -0.92) | 72.35% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.69% |
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