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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
WL

Leeds
3 - 0
Watford

Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Watford

Both sides possess plenty of quality and are bound to cause one another problems, and despite the hosts being yet to put a winning streak together, we see it as being only a matter of time for Farke's men and fancy them to kick off with an impressive victory at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
48.94% (2.563 2.56) 25.01% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 26.05% (-2.657 -2.66)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-2.372 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-2.149 -2.15)49.93% (2.146 2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (-1.947 -1.95)71.92% (1.944 1.94)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.224 0.22)20.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (0.356 0.36)52.87% (-0.359 -0.36)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-3.179 -3.18)33.68% (3.175 3.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-3.616 -3.62)70.33% (3.613 3.61)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 48.93%
    Watford 26.05%
    Draw 25.01%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.985 0.98)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.841 0.84)
3-1 @ 5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.474 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.199 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.28 -0.28)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Leeds
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Leeds (9-8 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 3-4 Leeds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 West Brom
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-3 Watford
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-1 Blackburn
Sunday, August 27 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Watford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship


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