SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Leeds United |
29.47% ( -2.68) | 23.39% ( 0.22) | 47.14% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -2.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( -2.45) | 40.45% ( 2.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( -2.56) | 62.82% ( 2.56) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( -2.85) | 26.24% ( 2.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( -3.97) | 61.35% ( 3.97) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( 0) | 17.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.12% ( 0.01) | 47.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.45)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.47% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.32)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.5)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.87)0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.76)1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.95% Total : 47.14% |
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