With Norwich having improved of late, this has the potential to be an even contest, particularly given how Leeds failed to convince against Preston. Nevertheless, they have momentum from that contest, leading us to predict another maximum return for Leeds in a close fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
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