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NL
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
LL

Norwich
2 - 3
Leeds

Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Saturday certainly presents a tough trip for Leeds United, but the Whites appear to be gaining momentum under their new manager while their hosts have struggled for consistency after a strong start, and we fancy Farke to come out on top on his Carrow Road return this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
43.08%24.84% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.21%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.3%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.69%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.08%
    Leeds United 32.08%
    Draw 24.83%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Watford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Leeds
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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