SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Southampton |
41.53% ( -1.67) | 24.79% ( 0.09) | 33.67% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( 0.09) | 45.19% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( 0.09) | 67.53% ( -0.09) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -0.74) | 21.76% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.05% ( -1.14) | 54.95% ( 1.14) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( 1.02) | 25.94% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( 1.35) | 60.94% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.67% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
