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Saturday, April 27
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RL
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
NL

Rotherham
2 - 1
Norwich

Lembikisa (22'), Hugill (40')
Hugill (36'), Rathbone (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fassnacht (50')
Stacey (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 0-3 Norwich City

While unbeaten Norwich are the top scorers in the Championship, winless Rotherham have the worst defensive record in the division. With that in mind, we expect the Canaries to soar to a comfortable victory over the Millers, who are on course to suffer a fourth defeat in five league outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorwich City
24.34% (0.004999999999999 0) 24.11% (0.0040000000000013 0) 51.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.57% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49%70.5%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)18.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.63% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 24.34%
    Norwich City 51.55%
    Draw 24.1%
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 6.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.34%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Norwich
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 4-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Hull City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship


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