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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
LL

Rotherham
1 - 2
Leicester

Onyedinma (53')
Rathbone (87'), C (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAteer (12', 84')
Mavididi (89'), Hermansen (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 0-2 Leicester City

While Rotherham will be desperate for a first league win of the campaign and are often difficult to beat, we see Leicester having too much quality for the Millers at the weekend and expect them to pick up another win to continue their perfect record at the start of the Championship season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeicester City
27.23% (0.061 0.06) 25.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 47.7% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)49.35% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.154 -0.15)71.4% (0.151 0.15)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)32.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)68.94% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.116 -0.12)20.71% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.184 -0.18)53.33% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 27.23%
    Leicester City 47.7%
    Draw 25.07%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.043 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.23%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Cardiff
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, August 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Leicester
Sunday, July 30 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leicester 4-2 Leuven
Wednesday, July 19 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1


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