This has all the makings of a tense game, both teams aware that they cannot continue on their recent runs. Coventry are most in need of maximum points, yet we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
