With Preston's surprise downturn in form and a shock Millwall exit for Rowett, there is a lot of uncertainty surrounding this fixture. It leaves us having to predict a low-scoring draw between two evenly-matched sides on paper, a result that both teams would probably accept.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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