SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Southampton |
34.39% ( -1.28) | 24.79% ( 0.3) | 40.82% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( -1.61) | 45% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( -1.57) | 67.36% ( 1.57) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( -1.47) | 25.43% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( -2.07) | 60.24% ( 2.07) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.22) | 22.03% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( -0.34) | 55.35% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.39% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.82% |
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