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SL
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
CC

Southampton
2 - 1
Coventry

Walker-Peters (18'), Adams (38')
Downes (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bidwell (68')
Latibeaudiere (3'), Eccles (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 2-2 Coventry City

Southampton are unlikely to fire a blank in front of goal in back-to-back matches, but the Saints' defensive fragility always gives their opposition a chance going the other way. Coventry have showcased their ability to produce shock results on the road in recent times, and we reckon that the Sky Blues will force a share of the spoils on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
54.28% (-3.152 -3.15) 21.58% (1.099 1.1) 24.13% (2.056 2.06)
Both teams to score 62.42% (-1.29 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.71% (-2.873 -2.87)36.28% (2.875 2.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (-3.213 -3.21)58.41% (3.216 3.22)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-1.85 -1.85)13.46% (1.852 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-3.847 -3.85)40.45% (3.85 3.85)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.051999999999992 0.05)27.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.066000000000003 0.07)63.48% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.29%
    Coventry City 24.13%
    Draw 21.58%
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.545 0.55)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.476 -0.48)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.376 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.3 -0.3)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.301 -0.3)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.708 0.71)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.511 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.46 0.46)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.424 0.42)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 24.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Southampton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Southampton
Monday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-2 Sunderland
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-4 Southampton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Southampton
Wednesday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-3 Coventry
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Coventry
Saturday, March 16 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Coventry
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 5-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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