SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
41.46% ( -0.43) | 24.46% ( 0.04) | 34.07% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( -0.1) | 43.53% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( -0.09) | 65.92% ( 0.09) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.24) | 21.08% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( -0.38) | 53.9% ( 0.37) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( 0.18) | 24.91% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( 0.25) | 59.54% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.07% |
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