Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Leicester City |
35.89% (![]() | 23.27% (![]() | 40.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.63% (![]() | 37.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.41% (![]() | 59.59% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% (![]() | 21.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% (![]() | 53.91% (![]() |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% (![]() | 18.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.84% (![]() | 50.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.02% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 10.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.62% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 40.85% |
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