SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
37.47% ( -0.63) | 23.35% ( 0.02) | 39.18% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.39% ( -0.14) | 37.61% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.15% ( -0.14) | 59.84% ( 0.15) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.36) | 20.41% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.15% ( -0.58) | 52.85% ( 0.58) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0.22) | 19.61% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( 0.36) | 51.55% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.27% Total : 39.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
