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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
E

Gremio
vs.
Estudiantes

 
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Gremio and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, April 28 at 1am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Gremio
Sunday, May 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: The Strongest vs. Estudiantes
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.79%).

Result
GremioDrawEstudiantes
53.68% (0.186 0.19) 25.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 20.61% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 44.8% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.61% (0.154 0.15)57.39% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (0.123 0.12)78.21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.14100000000001 0.14)21.45% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53% (0.217 0.22)54.47% (-0.219 -0.22)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.03% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)42.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.74% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)79.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.68%
    Estudiantes 20.61%
    Draw 25.71%
GremioDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 14.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1%
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.61%

Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, April 28 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-1 Gremio
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Gremio
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Huachipato
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 1 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-1 Gremio
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-2 Estudiantes
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 The Strongest
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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