Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.79%).