With Racing likely to rest a few key players given their disappointing position in Argentina's Primera Division, we believe that Nublense have a chance of pulling off an upset on Thursday.
However, they may fall just short of grabbing the win which they require in the end, although in truth even that would be unlikely to take them through to the knockout stages in any case.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 71.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.53%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
