An in-form Ipswich are a different proposition to a leaky Blackpool for Wolves, who were fortunate to travel home from Luton with a point in the bag and cannot make the fatal mistake of underestimating their Championship counterparts.
Despite their penchant for attacking supremacy at home, Ipswich have also been leaking goals at an alarming rate at Portman Road, so this tie may very well need to be settled from 12 yards after an entertaining draw, where Ipswich's recent shootout exploits can create an upset.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
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