SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
46.75% ( 1.57) | 23.57% ( 0.27) | 29.68% ( -1.85) |
| Both teams to score 60.4% ( -2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( -2.26) | 41.16% ( 2.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( -2.34) | 63.55% ( 2.34) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( -0.27) | 17.85% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% ( -0.46) | 48.61% ( 0.46) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -2.27) | 26.46% ( 2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( -3.12) | 61.64% ( 3.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.74)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.68% |
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