Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-4.34) 
4.7) 
